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He inherits a roster that is intriguing but thin, and it's conceivable that, before successfully bringing MACtion-level excitement and wins to Raleigh, he's in for another growing-into-the-job experience. The Wolfpack have had randomly good seasons - 9-4 in 2010, 11-3 in 2002, 34-14-1 from 1991-94 - but haven't been consistently strong for a while. He is tasked with taking NC State somewhere it really hasn't been in a while. He grew into previous jobs, and he didn't take long to do the same in his first head coaching position. We don't know Dave Doeren's ceiling yet because he hasn't reached it. He went 22-6, won two conference titles, reached the MAC's first BCS bowl, and in 2012, fielded a legitimately strong, top-35 team. F/+ top-30, and in inheriting an 11-win conference runner-up from Jerry Kill at NIU, he didn't do much to change the program's trajectory. His last two Wisconsin defenses ranked in the Def. And two years later, at age 41, he's a BCS head coach. Five years later, he was named head coach at Northern Illinois. Just six years later, he was named Bret Bielema's defensive co-coordinator at Wisconsin. Dave Doeren has taken the fast track to success 13 years ago, Doeren was Montana's defensive backs coach.
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So now State starts fresh with a MAC transplant. previewing every ACC team And every other team, too 2. MACtion road show Averaging an 8-5 record, as the Wolfpack did over the previous three years, is certainly not bad for a program that hasn't been a consistent top-25 presence for quite a while.īut it's not necessarily something you aspire to neither is "average," and almost everything about O'Brien's tenure was average.
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In six years under Tom O'Brien, NC State went 40-35, building at least a little bit of momentum (16-21 first three years, 24-14 next three) but evidently not enough to buy O'Brien a seventh year. But if you take out NC State's random 2010 peak (22nd and 9-4), the Wolfpack have ranked 65th, 64th, 50th, 64th, 58th, and 63rd from 2006-12. Now, to be sure, Washington has been amazingly average, ranking between 50th and 78th in seven of the last eight seasons. But really, it could also be titled "WashingtonScore." because Washington has spent most of the last eight seasons as an almost perfectly average team. It is an attempt to adjust for schedule and look at a team's in-season trends. Points measure I use below, the idea is to take a team's performance in a given week and gauge what would have happened if that team had played a perfectly average opponent that week instead of whoever it played. I may have been a little quick on the trigger in naming Washington the most perfectly average team in the country.